Decline
Here's great thought provoking quote:
"The declining church always assumes that the solution to youth ministry is programmatic. If only they could get a good leader! If only they could find a great curriculum! If only they could renovate a room in the building for youth meetings! They fail to recognize that the solutions to youth ministry, like the solution to decline in general is systemic"
(Thomas Bandy in M. DeVries Sustainable Youth Ministry)